Monday, May 24, 2010

It Ain't Over Till It's Over

They did it. The Magic and Suns both won their MUST win games. And just as impressively, they both won with truly dominate performances from their superstars. Amare Stoudemire went a long way towards quieting his critics with his 42-point, 11-rebound performance. And Dwight Howard showed that the Magic will not go down with a fight with his 32-point,16-rebound, 4-block performance. But are these performances sustainable? What chance do the Magic and Suns have of rallying and pulling off the upset? Lets look at the Suns first. Down 2-1, the Suns really aren't in awful shape. They have shown that when the cards break their way, they can beat the Lakers. Just as importantly, they made LA bleed and showed they can be beat. However, to win this series, the Suns are going to have to play at least to their Game 3 level 3 more times. And two of those times will be in LA. So while it is possible, it will be incredibly difficult for Phoenix to win this series. The Suns have a 15% chance of winning this series. Now the Magic, they are in must worse shape. Even if they can sustain tonight's effort for 3 more games, the Magic cannot win this series. It took a dominate performance and overtime to win tonight. There is one thing Orlando can do to totally revolutionize this series and give themselves a fighting chance. And that is for same thing I have been preaching this whole series to happen. Rashard Lewis absolutely has too light it up from behind the arc. He played better tonight, but he needs to take his game to a whole new level. If Lewis can pick his game and clear Garnett out of the lane, then the Magic can give themselves the chance to pull off the ultimate upset. The Magic have a 5% chance of winning this series.

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